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Cardano Price Forecast ADA Recovery Misses Retail and Whale Support

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Cardano Price Rises Amid Mixed Investor Sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price climbed nearly 2% on Friday. This follows a 3% gain from Thursday. On the 4-hour chart, ADA is rebounding inside a descending triangle pattern. It may soon break out. However, retail support for ADA is weak. Large investors, called whales, are divided on Cardano’s future.

Whales Show Mixed Signals

  • Whales holding over 1 billion ADA increased their supply share from 4.10% to 4.33% this month.
  • This buying often hints at a possible price rise.
  • But whales holding 100 million to 1 billion ADA sold 56% of their holdings this month.
  • This group controls 10.94% of the total ADA supply.

Data from Santiment shows contrasting moves by different whale groups.

The derivatives market also shows caution. ADA futures Open Interest (OI) rose slightly to $660.90 million on Friday. It stayed under $700 million after falling from $1.51 billion on October 10. This flat OI reflects traders’ risk aversion and a wait-and-see attitude, according to CoinGlass data.

Cardano Eyes Breakout from Triangle Pattern

Cardano bounced off a support line that forms a descending triangle on the 4-hour chart. ADA faces resistance at the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $0.6554.

If ADA breaks above this EMA, it could test the overhead trendline by the Pivot Point at $0.6604. Closing above that line could confirm a breakout. This may push the price towards the R1 Pivot Point at $0.7284.

Momentum indicators support this view:

  • The MACD is above its signal line and rising, showing growing bullish momentum.
  • The RSI is at 53 and climbing, indicating increased buying pressure.

Still, the descending triangle often leads to a price drop. If ADA falls below Wednesday’s low at $0.6061, support may appear at $0.5847 and $0.5167, the S1 and S2 Pivot Points.

Marcel
Marcelhttps://cryptonewspub.com/
Marcel is the enthusiastic owner and editor-in-chief of CryptoNewsPub, the go-to source for the latest news, sharp analyses, and groundbreaking insights into the world of cryptocurrency and blockchain. With his passion for decentralization and innovation, he makes complex developments clear and accessible to both novice crypto enthusiasts and seasoned traders. Marcel’s articles inspire, inform, and empower you to embrace the digital financial revolution with confidence.

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